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Robotics has always been one of those engineering fields which has promised so much, but is taking a long time to deliver all the things that people imagine.

When someone asks: "How long before we have [X] type of robots?" Are there any resources we can call upon to try to calculate a rough answer. These resources might include:

  • Rate of progress of computational power, and some estimate of how much will be needed for various types of AI.
  • Rate of progress of electrical energy storage density, and some estimate of how much will be needed for various types of robot.
  • Rate of progress of actuation systems, and some estimate of what would be needed for various types of robot.
  • Lists of milestones towards various types of robot, and which ones have been achieved and when.

Are these types of studies performed, and are the results published?


Added:

In response to Jakob's comment, I am not looking for opinions or discussions on this subject. What I am looking for are published studies which might shed light on this question.

Robotics has always been one of those engineering fields which has promised so much, but is taking a long time to deliver all the things that people imagine.

When someone asks: "How long before we have [X] type of robots?" Are there any resources we can call upon to try to calculate a rough answer. These resources might include:

  • Rate of progress of computational power, and some estimate of how much will be needed for various types of AI.
  • Rate of progress of electrical energy storage density, and some estimate of how much will be needed for various types of robot.
  • Rate of progress of actuation systems, and some estimate of what would be needed for various types of robot.
  • Lists of milestones towards various types of robot, and which ones have been achieved and when.

Are these types of studies performed, and are the results published?

Robotics has always been one of those engineering fields which has promised so much, but is taking a long time to deliver all the things that people imagine.

When someone asks: "How long before we have [X] type of robots?" Are there any resources we can call upon to try to calculate a rough answer. These resources might include:

  • Rate of progress of computational power, and some estimate of how much will be needed for various types of AI.
  • Rate of progress of electrical energy storage density, and some estimate of how much will be needed for various types of robot.
  • Rate of progress of actuation systems, and some estimate of what would be needed for various types of robot.
  • Lists of milestones towards various types of robot, and which ones have been achieved and when.

Are these types of studies performed, and are the results published?


Added:

In response to Jakob's comment, I am not looking for opinions or discussions on this subject. What I am looking for are published studies which might shed light on this question.

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Robotics Trends

Robotics has always been one of those engineering fields which has promised so much, but is taking a long time to deliver all the things that people imagine.

When someone asks: "How long before we have [X] type of robots?" Are there any resources we can call upon to try to calculate a rough answer. These resources might include:

  • Rate of progress of computational power, and some estimate of how much will be needed for various types of AI.
  • Rate of progress of electrical energy storage density, and some estimate of how much will be needed for various types of robot.
  • Rate of progress of actuation systems, and some estimate of what would be needed for various types of robot.
  • Lists of milestones towards various types of robot, and which ones have been achieved and when.

Are these types of studies performed, and are the results published?